ResearchResearch paperData & Datasets · Efficiency & Inference · Training & Scaling1 source · Oct 19, 2026

Fixed-Size Active Statistical Inference

We show that a fixed-size alternative, known in survey sampling as Conditional Poisson Sampling (CPS), is a drop-in replacement for PS on general multivariate Z-estimation problems, which include convex M-estimation considered in prior work.

Key points

  • Variance reduction techniques improve the efficiency of drawing conclusions from data.
  • Recent proposals for variance-reduction use two complementary techniques to reduce variance: incorporating machine learning predictions into estimators and weighted sampling.
  • Notably, we show that the asymptotic variance of CPS is no worse than that of PS, and can be substantially better in realistic scenarios where predictions are imperfect.
  • We illustrate these advantages on both synthetic and real datasets, and release a Python package implementing CPS.

Sources (1)

  • [1]Fixed-Size Active Statistical Inference
    arXiv (AI, ML, NLP, CV, robotics, multi-agent) · Oct 19, 11:25 PM
    We show that a fixed-size alternative, known in survey sampling as Conditional Poisson Sampling (CPS), is a drop-in replacement for PS on general multivariate Z-estimation problems, which include convex M-estimation considered in prior work.
    Variance reduction techniques improve the efficiency of drawing conclusions from data.

Extractive summary: sentences quoted from the sources.

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