Velocity Ambiguity Profiles: Time-Resolved Bayes-Risk Diagnostics for Flow Matching
We introduce the Velocity Ambiguity Profile (VAP), $\mathcal{A}v(t)$, the time-local Bayes-risk floor of velocity prediction, and decompose time-resolved loss as $LN(t)=\mathcal{A}v(t)+R(t;N)$, where only the excess term $R(t;N)$ is reducible by more data or a different estimator.
ProofPaper ↗
Key points
- Flow matching trains a continuum of velocity regression problems but usually reports a loss averaged over interpolation time, obscuring which regions are limited by intrinsic ambiguity and which remain data-limited.
- In separated isotropic Gaussian mixtures, the Bayes velocity becomes locally affine, and a label-oracle residual-regression benchmark has parametric excess-risk scale $K\mathcal{A}v(t)/N$, matched within the same separated residual Gaussian-location subproblem.
- On CIFAR-100 DINOv2 feature flow, guided time sampling reduces uniformly evaluated velocity loss by $6.78%$ and global feature Fréchet distance (FD) by $23.6%$, while class-conditional kernel inception distance (KID) shows no improvement.
- VAP turns an averaged flow-matching objective into a time-resolved diagnostic for locating ambiguity-limited and data-limited regions.
Sources (1)
- [1]Velocity Ambiguity Profiles: Time-Resolved Bayes-Risk Diagnostics for Flow MatchingarXiv (AI, ML, NLP, CV, robotics, multi-agent) · Oct 21, 05:52 PM
We introduce the Velocity Ambiguity Profile (VAP), $\mathcal{A}_v(t)$, the time-local Bayes-risk floor of velocity prediction, and decompose time-resolved loss as $L_N(t)=\mathcal{A}_v(t)+R(t;N)$, where only the excess term $R(t;N)$ is reducible by more data or a different estimator.
Flow matching trains a continuum of velocity regression problems but usually reports a loss averaged over interpolation time, obscuring which regions are limited by intrinsic ambiguity and which remain data-limited.
Extractive summary: sentences quoted from the sources.
Before this
- Oct 21, 2026Unlocking Spatial Grounding in Flow-Matching Models via SNR Tuning
- Oct 21, 2026Integrating Flow Matching and Model Predictive Control for Safe Robot Navigation
- Oct 21, 2026Compositional neural networks for multimodal X-ray and neutron scattering inversion
- Oct 20, 2026UniWALM: Unified World Action Language Model for Embodied Robot Control
- Oct 20, 2026Gradium Open-Sources Phonon, a 31M-Parameter On-Device TTS Model Under Apache 2.0
- Oct 20, 2026Perceives but Doesn't Brake: A Perception-Action Binding Gap in Reasoning Driving VLAs