ResearchResearch paperInterpretability1 source · Oct 12, 2026

Explaining Heterogeneous Treatment Effects with Causal Forests and the Hoeffding Functional Decomposition

To address this limitation, we introduce CausalTreeHFD, an interpretable extension of causal forests, based on the Hoeffding functional decomposition adapted to tree ensembles.

Key points

  • The estimation of heterogeneous treatment effects is a central objective of causal inference.
  • Consequently, the identification of covariates driving heterogeneity remains a challenging and open problem.
  • Our approach decomposes predictions of conditional average treatment effects (CATE) into contributions from individual covariates and pairwise interactions, providing a direct characterization of the factors driving treatment effect heterogeneity.
  • Experiments on simulated and real datasets show that CausalTreeHFD accurately identifies relevant covariates and interactions, and precisely recovers their contributions to heterogeneous treatment effects.

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