ResearchResearch paperData & Datasets · Large Language Models · Evaluation & Benchmarks1 source · Oct 14, 2026

A Two-Level Clinical Novelty Prioritization Framework for Disease Trajectories Discovered from Longitudinal Electronic Health Records

Graph-based analysis of electronic health records (EHRs) yields disease-trajectory catalogs, but structural support does not establish semantic novelty.

Key points

  • We present a two-level framework to prioritize 99,527 branching motifs previously discovered by an upstream patient-disjoint, train-only MIMIC-IV v3.1 pipeline and frozen after validation-based catalog selection.
  • The framework separates path-level and node-to-endpoint semantic sparsity from reliability-adjusted clinical priority.
  • Three deterministic textualizations per motif or node-target pair were embedded with BAAI/bge-small-en-v1.5 and calibrated against 166,972 pre-2023 PubMed references using mean top-20 cosine distance.
  • These findings support representation-aware, uncertainty-aware literature-relative prioritization of discovered trajectories rather than causal discovery or clinician-adjudicated novelty.

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