ResearchResearch paperLarge Language Models1 source · Oct 15, 2026

In-Context Learning Before Specialisation: Theory of Learning in a Solvable Topic Model

Here we provide such a theory in a solvable topic model---documents drawn from a finite mixture of latent topics, mirroring the heterogeneity of modern pretraining data.

Key points

  • Sequence models can generalise in fundamentally distinct ways: extrapolating structures seen in training, or using their prompt to adapt to novel tasks.
  • Recent work has characterised many different strategies theoretically, and empirically described the transition between them as the quality and quantity of pretraining data vary.
  • The dataset comes with two distinct solutions: a specialised predictor, that stores the finite topic mixture, and an in-context one, optimal for topics never seen during training.
  • Our theory predicts their emergence at distinct sample complexities: the in-context predictor is available early, while the specialised one emerges only after the training tokens outnumber the parameters of the data-generating process.

Sources (1)

  • [1]In-Context Learning Before Specialisation: Theory of Learning in a Solvable Topic Model
    arXiv (AI, ML, NLP, CV, robotics, multi-agent) · Oct 15, 01:54 PM
    Here we provide such a theory in a solvable topic model---documents drawn from a finite mixture of latent topics, mirroring the heterogeneity of modern pretraining data.
    Sequence models can generalise in fundamentally distinct ways: extrapolating structures seen in training, or using their prompt to adapt to novel tasks.

Extractive summary: sentences quoted from the sources.

Before this

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  3. Oct 14, 2026OrionMoE-v1.0: A Mixture-of-Experts Foundation Model for Tabular In-Context Learning
  4. Oct 14, 2026Training Dynamics of Transformers on Unbounded Inputs: Attention Learning Can Lag Output Layer Learning
  5. Oct 14, 2026When Does Depth Help? Understanding Layerwise Inference in Tabular Foundation Models
  6. Oct 14, 2026mistralai/Timestral-209M

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