ResearchResearch paperAgents & Tool Use · Business, Funding & Industry · Safety & Alignment1 source · Oct 19, 2026

The Control Layer Behind Rule-Following Agents Trading Across Market Conditions

Our study tested whether four AI trading agents followed their strategies and risk rules.

Key points

  • Our study analysed 2,627 closed positions from 12 February to 27 August 2026 across the same asset universe and execution conditions.
  • Profitability tracked how often agents won relative to their break-even win rates.
  • The trade-log tests can be rerun from the published trade snapshot; regime tests also require the published Bitcoin prices and regime labels.
  • Our study provides an evaluation toolkit to help traders distinguish rule-following from luck before committing capital.

Sources (1)

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