ResearchResearch paperImage, Video & 3D Generation · Training & Scaling · Reinforcement Learning1 source · Oct 12, 2026

Constructed regional photovoltaic generation fields improve ultra-short-term distributed solar forecasting

We develop SatPV-Field, a regional-to-local forecasting framework that transforms distributed PV measurements into image-like generation fields and models their spatiotemporal evolution.

Key points

  • Ultra-short-term forecasting of densely distributed photovoltaic (PV) systems remains challenging because external meteorological and satellite products may not adequately resolve rapid local variations, while heterogeneous PV systems exhibit different generation responses under similar atmospheric conditions.
  • Meanwhile, dense PV fleets provide spatially distributed measurements that reveal regional generation dynamics.
  • Here, we reformulate fleet-level PV forecasting from modeling discrete station time series to predicting explicit, spatially structured regional PV generation fields.
  • By combining historical PV fields with satellite-derived future shortwave radiation guidance and meteorological forecasts, the framework predicts future regional generation states, which subsequently provide location-specific guidance for individual-station forecasting.

Sources (1)

  • [1]Constructed regional photovoltaic generation fields improve ultra-short-term distributed solar forecasting
    arXiv (AI, ML, NLP, CV, robotics, multi-agent) · Oct 12, 03:17 AM
    We develop SatPV-Field, a regional-to-local forecasting framework that transforms distributed PV measurements into image-like generation fields and models their spatiotemporal evolution.
    Ultra-short-term forecasting of densely distributed photovoltaic (PV) systems remains challenging because external meteorological and satellite products may not adequately resolve rapid local variations, while heterogeneous PV systems exhibit different generation responses under similar atmospheric conditions.

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